The percentage that appears next to each call says how much of what it asks for fits what your organisation has declared in its profile. It is worked out with a fixed rule, the same for all of them and with no AI involved: that is why it exists for the whole catalogue, and why it can be used to sort and filter.
It is not a probability of winning. It measures whether the call is for you, not what your chances are: the one that decides is its scoring committee.
What it compares
- The field of work, which counts for the most.
- The territory.
- Your annual budget against the amount of the call: asking for ten times what you handle in a year says something about whether you could carry it out.
- The groups you support, when the call names them.
What you have not filled in does not count against you: it drops out of the calculation too, and its weight goes to the rest. Penalising you for something nobody has asked for yet would make a half-filled profile look like a bad fit, when what is really going on is that we do not know. And if less than half the weight is left to assess there is no number, but “not enough data”: a low number would read as a no.
Why you will almost never see a high fit without an analysis
This calculation says whether the call is about what you do, not whether you can win it: what really decides is inside the rules. So until they have been read, and its requirements can be checked against your profile, the percentage does not go above 70% – and “high fit” starts at 75. It is not that the filter is broken: it is refusing to state what nobody knows.
When there is a warning instead of a number
Some things are not “you score lower” but “you cannot apply”: the deadline has passed, the territory is not yours, you do not reach the minimum age at the closing date, the rules name types of organisation and yours is not one of them, or they require a status you do not have. There the reason is shown, which is what helps. And every check fails the same way: what is not known never rules you out.
The number that has actually read the rules is the fit analysis. And what changes the list most is filling in your organisation's profile.